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  1. forum rang 10 voda 16 december 2015 20:21
    13,204 MW of green power capacity added in 12th Plan till October-end

    PTI reported that a power generation capacity of 13,204 MW from non-conventional or clean sources like solar and wind has been added during the 12th Plan (2012-17) till October-end.

    Mr Piyush Goyal, Power, Coal, New & Renewable Energy Minister said in a written reply to the Rajya Sabha that "As against a capacity addition target of 1,18,537 MW (including 88,537 MW conventional and 30,000 MW renewable) during the 12th Plan (2016-17), about 70,480 MW has been achieved from conventional sources till December 7, 2015 and about 13,204 MW from renewable sources till October 31, 2015."

    India has set a very ambitious target of adding 175 GW of power generation capacity from renewable energy sources by 2022.

    Mr Goyal said that "(There is plan for) construction of 1,07,440 circuit kilometres (ckm) transmission lines and setting up of 2,82,740 megavolt ampere (MVA) transformation capacity during the 12th Plan. As against this, 76,490 ckm of transmission lines and 2,19,730 MVA of transformation capacity have been achieved till November, 2015."

    The 12th Five-Year Plan began on April 1, 2012 and will end on March 31, 2017.

    He said that the power projects under construction that are likely to be ready by 2019-end total around 86,363 MW capacity, comprising 72,326 MW from thermal, 9,737 MW from hydro and 4,300 MW from nuclear sources.

    The energy shortage has come down from 8.5 per cent in 2011-12 to 2.4 per cent in 2015-16 (up to October 2015), the lowest ever.

    He added that the peak shortage is down from 10.6 per cent in 2011-12 to 3.2 per cent during 2015-16 (up to October 2015), which also is an all-time low.

    Source : PTI
  2. forum rang 10 voda 16 december 2015 20:24
    Reliance Power's Sasan UMPP pulls off highest load factor at 98.2pct in Nov’15

    PTI reported that Reliance Power's 3,960-MW Sasan ultra mega power project recorded the highest plant load factor - 98.2 per cent - in November this year among private thermal power generation plants in the country.

    An IDFC Securities said that "RPower logged the highest PLF of 98.2 per cent in November 2015 as Sasan UMPP outperformed industry average of 60.6 per cent in November 2015."

    PLF is the ratio of actual output of a power plant over a period of time and its potential output should it operate at full capacity during that period.

    According to the report, power generation came in flat in November 2015 after a strong growth of 10.8 per cent and 8.8 per cent in September and October this year, respectively. The overall generation in November 2015 was 85.3 billion units.

    The generation target for 2015-16 is 1,136 billion units (BU), which implies a year-on-year (yoy) increase of 8.4 per cent and PLF of coal-based TPS (161 GW) declined by 338 bps (basis points) yoy to 61.4 per cent in YTD (year-to-date) 2015-16.

    Apart from Sasan UMPP, Tata Power's Maithon Power operated at 88.5 per cent PLF while Adani Power's Mundra ran at 84.3 per cent.

    Source : PTI
  3. forum rang 10 voda 22 december 2015 17:12
    India's green energy target may trip on funding woes - Mr Sumant Sinha

    Mr Sumant Sinha, founder of ReNew Power, said that India's green energy goals are in line with the UN climate change pact, but the country may not meet its target of having 100 gigawatts (GW) of renewable energy capacity by 2022 as long term investment to the sector may dry up as aggressive bids threaten the profitability of projects.

    India's renewable energy target for 2022 hinges on capacity addition in the solar sector, which has witnessed record capacity addition in the past two years. The tariff bid for new projects has fallen to unprecedented levels with some projects being bagged at INR 4.63 a unit from bids that ranged between INR 12.76 only till five 10.95 and years back.

    Mr Sinha said that "This was the first time that India went with an open mind without a defensive posture to the climate change meet in Paris because the targets were not being imposed on us but were the target which we were anyway trying to achieve internally."

    He said that "Indian government is well intentioned but there will be bumps along the way. If we don't manage to source long term funding, we may only achieve 70-80GW and miss the 100GW target."

    The UN climate change conference in Paris concluded with countries agreeing to a global temperature increase cap at 2 degrees Celsius of the pre-industrial level, which means 4070 per cent emission reduction by 2050 from 2010 levels. Nations committed to balance greenhouse gas emissions with reforestation and planting of trees.

    He added that "The challenge is that we are trying to add the same capacity in renewable energy in seven years that was added in conventional energy over several decades. There are physical challenges in that. But the bigger problem is that we need USD 50-60 billion of equity investment which will come only if the returns are attractive."

    Source : Economic Times
  4. forum rang 10 voda 22 december 2015 17:23
    Indo-Japan N-deal to boost India's renewable energy plans - IEA

    The IEA said that India's recent agreement with Japan on developing environmentally-friendly nuclear energy for civilian use is the right step and will boost the country's renewable energy plans.

    Mr Fatih Birol, International Energy Agency executive director, said that "We support India's renewable energy plans, the building of solar industry hub in the country and its approach to nuclear as a civic energy source."

    Paris-based IEA is an autonomous intergovernmental organisation which works to ensure reliable, affordable and clean energy for its 29 member countries and beyond.

    Mr Birol said that India with its right safety policies will work out nuclear energy deal with the rest of the international community.

    He also called on the Indian government to continue its renewable energy programmes, including the development of solar technologies despite these being out-priced by the current low crude oil prices.

    He said that "The low oil price environment will not last forever and as such I am hopeful India will continue its programmes to develop renewable energies."

    The IEA executive director noted the urgent need for India to increase electricity generation while facing strong power demand from industrialising economy.

    He added that "India also needs to provide full electricity access to the 240 million people still without it. But for all this demand, India needs to have a balanced energy mix coal, natural gas, renewables and nuclear."

    Capping years of negotiations, India and Japan on December 12 sealed a broad agreement for cooperation in civil nuclear energy with the final deal to be signed after certain technical and legal issues are thrashed out.

    The agreement, featuring broad contours of cooperation in the nuclear field, was signed after Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Japanese counterpart Shinzo Abe held the ninth annual Indo-Japan summit talks in New Delhi.

    The IEA executive director also applauded India's imports of higher grade coal for its electricity generating plants.

    Mr Birol noted India's need to manage electricity demand by increasing production of local coal which though was of a lower grade, but pointed out how the country has become the world's largest coal importer especially of a higher grade.

    He said that the development of solar technologies is not only important for domestic use but also for India to play an important role in the global solar industry.

    Source : PTI

  5. forum rang 10 voda 23 december 2015 16:38
    India's energy demand will be double by 2040 - Mr Pradhan

    Mr Dharmendra Pradhan Petroleum Minister said that India's energy demands will be more than double by 2040 as the economy will grow over five times its current size.

    Mr Pradhan said in Lok Sabha the International Energy Agency has released India's energy outlook in the World Energy Outlook 2015 which said that for the entire period till 2040, Indian economy will grow at a faster rate than any other country in the world by an average of 6.5 per cent per year.

    He said that "India's energy demand will be more than double by 2040 as economy will grow to more than five times its current size. A six million barrels per day rise in oil use is the largest projected for any country's oil demand as 260 million new passenger vehicles will be added.”

    He added that "The demand for oil is projected to rise to 458 million tonnes of oil equivalent (MTOE) with a CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) of 3.6 per cent (2013-2040)."

    Mr Pradhan said that LPG will substitute for firewood as cooking fuel and industrial energy use will be buoyed by substantial growth in domestic manufacturing encouraged by the Make in India initiative.

    However, gas production will rise to 90 BCM (billion cubic metres) in 2040, subject to adjustment to the current formula that determines the price paid to domestic producers. The demand for natural gas is projected to rise to 149 MTOE with a CAGR of 4.6 per cent (2013-40).

    Source : PTI
  6. forum rang 10 voda 31 december 2015 15:54
    Belasting op gas fors omhoog in 2016
    door Bernard Vogelsang

    Liefhebbers van een lekker verwarmd huis of een lange douchebeurt zijn volgend jaar flink duurder uit. De energiebelasting op gas gaat per 1 januari namelijk met 32 procent omhoog naar 30,5 eurocent per kuub.

    Voor een huishouden met een gemiddeld gasverbruik betekent dit een tegenvaller van 132 euro per jaar, zo blijkt uit berekeningen van vergelijkingssite Gaslicht.com.

    Daar staat tegenover dat de energietaks op stroom met 16 procent omlaag gaat. Per saldo is een doorsnee huishouden volgend jaar circa 52 euro meer kwijt aan de belasting op gas en stroom.

    Verontwaardigd

    De verwachting was dat de energienota van een gemiddeld huishouden in 2016 met enkele tientallen euro's omlaag zou gaan door goedkopere gas en stroom. Maar door het zwaarder belasten van gas verdwijnt dit voordeel als sneeuw voor de zon.

    Opvallend is ook dat de overheid de hogere belasting op gas pas rond de kerstdagen heeft aangekondigd. "Bij Gaslicht.com hebben we diverse reacties ontvangen van verontwaardigde consumenten", aldus directeur Ben Woldring.

    www.telegraaf.nl/dft/geld/consument/2...
  7. forum rang 10 voda 4 januari 2016 16:54
    Dubai approves AED 27bn independent power projects

    Dubai Electricity & Water Authority (Dewa) has approved strategic projects worth over AED 27 billion based on the independent power producer (IPP) model in its new budget.

    A senior official said that the utility firm's move is aimed at leveraging Public Private Partnerships and build new capacity in renewable energy and diversify the emirate’s energy mix in the long-term.

    Dewa has announced a total budget of AED 23.65 billion for 2016, a slight increase from AED 22.873 billion last year.

    Mr Saeed Mohammed Al Tayer, the managing director and chief executive of Dewa, said that "Its operational budget for 2016 is AED 14.165 billion compared to AED 13.465 billion the year before, while the administrative capital budget has been set at AED 770 million."

    Mr Al Tayer said that "Dewa has assigned a large part of the budget to clean-energy-related projects in support of the Dubai Clean Energy Strategy 2050 launched to provide 75 per cent of Dubai’s total power output from clean energy. This will make Dubai’s carbon footprint the lowest in the world."

    According to Mr Al Tayer, a sum of AED 8.72 billion will be allocated to capital expenditure and projects, compared with AED 8.028 billion in 2015.

    He said that Dewa has also allocated funds for several key projects, including the construction of nine new 132kV substations at a cost of AED 775 million and the extension of 256 km of 132kV cables, and other power transmission and distribution projects and smart communication networks.

    Source : TradeArabia News Service
  8. forum rang 10 voda 4 januari 2016 16:59
    GE wins USD 1bn Saudi power plant contract

    US industrial giant General Electric Company (GE) said that it has won a landmark engineering and construction contract worth nearly USD 1 billion from Saudi Electricity Company for its combined cycle power plant at Waad Al Shamal in the north of the kingdom.

    As per the deal, GE will deliver the turnkey power plant, supplying four advanced GE 7F.05 heavy duty gas turbines and a GE steam turbine, and featuring solar innovation technology.

    The GE in a statement said that the 1,390 MW combined cycle plant will be able to provide the equivalent power needed to supply more than 500,000 Saudi homes.

    It said that scheduled for completion in 48 months, the plant will support the phosphate mining operations in the locality, in turn driving industrialisation and job creation for Saudi nationals.

    Mr Ziyad Al Shiha, CEO of Saudi Electricity Company, said that "We continue to strengthen the kingdom’s power infrastructure to meet the growing demand for electricity and to accelerate all-round growth."

    Mr Al Shiha said that "Waad Al Shamal is a strategically located power plant that has tremendous potential to energize the local economy and create jobs for Saudis through its support to the industrial sector. By awarding the contract to GE, we are further building on the long-term partnership we have with GE, with a focus on advanced technologies."

    Source : TradeArabia News Service
  9. forum rang 10 voda 7 januari 2016 21:15
    China targets USD 2.2 trn spend on green energy - Irena

    The International Renewable Energy Association (Irena) said that China could spend as much as USD 145 billion per year until 2030, amounting to USD 2.2 trillion in total on renewable energy in total.

    According to Irena, China will also account for nearly 40 per cent of the world’s sustainable energy capacity growth until 2020.

    More than 30 Chinese companies, especially in the solar power sector, are set to take part in the upcoming World Future Energy Summit (WFES) 2016 in Abu Dhabi, UAE.

    Mr Naji El Haddad, Group event director, said that “Our largest-ever Chinese contingent represents new business opportunities for both Chinese renewable energy experts in the fast-paced Middle East and North Africa market, and for international investors in China’s strong renewable energy sector.”

    Source : Trade Arabia
  10. forum rang 10 voda 7 januari 2016 21:23
    Iran to offer foreign firms USD 28bn power projects

    It is reported that Iran will offer power projects worth more than USD 28 billion for foreign investment in the next few years.

    Mr Hamid Chitchian, Energy Minister, said that the Islamic Republic needs to add about 50MW to its power generation capacity within the next decade.

    Mr Chitchian said that this will call for major investments from domestic and foreign financiers.

    He said that "Based on plans, some of the projects, worth nearly $28 billion, will be financed by foreign investors."

    Source : Trade Arabia
  11. forum rang 10 voda 7 januari 2016 21:27
    Rajghat Power House may become waste-to-energy plant - Report

    The Hindu reported that the Delhi government is mulling to convert the coal-based Rajghat Power House into a waste-to-energy plant.

    The proposal comes at a time when the Union Ministry of Power has prepared a cabinet note for amending the Electricity Act, 2003, for inclusion of buying power generated from municipal solid wastes.

    The thermal power plant at Rajghat, which is operated by Delhi government’s Indraprastha Power Generation Company Limited (IPGCL), has been shut for over eight months now, not only because it is a major source of pollution in the city but also because discoms have stopped buying electricity from it.

    Sources in the power department said that the Aam Aadmi Party government has been juggling with the fate of the power house which ironically, is just a few metres away from the Delhi Secretariat.

    A senior government official said that “The idea initially was to convert it into a solar power plant. But, since the defunct Indraprastha power house has already been planned for turning it into a ground-based solar power system, we are looking for alternatives for Rajghat plant. The proposal of converting it into a waste-to-energy plant was floated in a recent meeting.”

    Official said that also, building a solar power plant is more expensive than a waste-to-energy plant.

    Delhi produces a mammoth 8,360 tons per day (TPD) of municipal sold waste and surprisingly, the city has only one operational plant till date.

    The 1,950 MTD capacity plant in Okhla is the only operational plant, while two others in Ghazipur and Narela are under installation.

    Mr Satyendar Jain, Delhi’s Power Minister, said that “Delhi need more waste to energy plants as the generation of municipal solid waste is only increasing with each passing year. So, the idea is feasible but we will have to consult experts before finalizing anything.”

    Source : The Hindu
  12. forum rang 10 voda 13 januari 2016 19:43
    Saudi Arabia to spend USD 100bn in renewable energy in Abu Dhabi, UAE

    Reuters reported that more than USD 100 billion in Saudi renewable energy projects will help meet its skyrocketing energy demand and diversify its energy sector, industry experts said ahead of the upcoming World Future Energy Summit in Abu Dhabi, UAE.

    According to a recent report by Frost & Sullivan, the Kingdom’s energy demand is expected to grow by 45 per cent from 69 gigawatts in 2014 to 100 gigawatts in 2040, an amount that is nearly as much as all of the rest of the GCC combined.

    Saudi Arabia plans to spend $109 billion to install 54 gigawatts of renewable energy by 2040, added Frost & Sullivan.

    By 2020, Saudi projects alone will account for 70 per cent of the total value of the GCC’s renewable energy projects.

    Mr Roberto De Diego Arozamena, CEO, Abdul Latif Jameel Energy and Environmental Services, which will be one of the key sponsors of the World Future Energy Summit (WFES) 2016, said that “With the Middle East’s renewable energy sector rapidly advancing, Saudi Arabia holds the region’s biggest potential for both solar and wind power.”

    Mr Arozamena said that “Renewable energy can help Saudi Arabia meet its growing energy demand, and also help diversify its economy, shift government energy subsidies, and provide jobs for the Saudi workforce.”

    According to an Arthur D Little report, solar power in particular is seeing the strongest take-up, with the Kingdom planning to install 41 gigawatts of solar power by 2040.

    To support solar, Arthur D Little calls for easy financing of solar projects, strategic partnerships, deploying before manufacturing, and proactive energy policy reforms.

    Source : Reuters
  13. forum rang 10 voda 13 januari 2016 19:44
    India to ramp up infrastructure for long distance transmission

    Business Standard reported that in around 3 years, India will see some 34,000MW power being transported over long distances, primarily to the northern and the southern regions. This will be made possible through setting up of large trunk transmission lines, which are technologically most advanced in the world.

    Transmission of power over large distances is not very common across the world except in China and Europe.

    Currently, just 5,900 MW power is travelling to the southern grid from northern, eastern and western grids, but the volume will jump by a whopping 11,100 MW to 17,000 MW by 2019-20. This will be made possible by coming up of five new transmission lines at a cost of Rs 42,950 crore.

    Mr IS Jha, chairman, Power Grid Corporation, said that “We have built more corridors in northern and southern regions and their capacity has been increased. Close to 18,000 MW of transmission capacity would be ramped up for both the northern and southern regions.”

    Similarly, the northern region which currently gets 8,050 MW from the western region will see the number rising to 17,000 MW by 2018-19 through coming up of three additional lines.

    Mr Jha said that “States are now replacing costly power and wheeling cheap power from other regions. By paying 25-30 paisa in transmission, they are saving INR 1-2 per unit of power generation.”

    Source : Business Standard
  14. forum rang 10 voda 13 januari 2016 19:45
    46,000 mw Power projects at high risk - ASSOCHAM-CRISIL study

    The Associated Chamber of Commerce and Industry of India (ASSOCHAM)-CRISIL joint study revealed that about 46,000 mw of power projects are at high risk as these projects are not having any strong sponsor company support.

    Banks and Financial Institutions (FIs) have together lent about INR 75,000 crore as on March 15, 2015 and these projects are not expected to turn viable in the long-run even if they are structured under the 5/25 scheme. It is rather apprehended that accretion of non-performing assets (NPAs) from these accounts could be high in the medium term.

    Mr D S Rawat, the chamber Secretary General, said that, the ground reality today is that 46,000 mw of capacities are at risk. Of this, nearly 36,000 mw are coal-based and about 10,000 mw, gas-based. Loans to these projects are pegged at around Rs. 2.1 lakh crore of which about two-thirds are lent by public sector banks.

    The study has classified coal-based projects (76% of the Rs 2.1 lakh crore exposure) into three buckets of risk- offtake, fuel availability, and aggressive bidding. The risk is highest where lenders are exposed to projects that were bid so aggressively that there is a question mark over their viability. Gas-based projects (24% of the exposure), on the other hand, are weak due to lack of fuel availability.

    The study believes nearly 20,000 mw of weak generation projects involving debt of Rs 1 lakh crore can benefit from the 5/25 scheme in the medium-term. Of this 15,000 mw are coal-based. Some of these were operating at sub-optimal PLFs because of inadequate feedstock, but coal supplies are improving now. They can further benefit from elongated loan tenures under the 5/25 scheme.

    Additionally, 5,000 mw of gas-based capacities, having been allocated subsidised RLNG in the recent round of auctions, will be able to service their interest obligations for the next two years.

    Therefore, providing moratorium on principal repayment under 5/25 till such time domestic gas production improves can provide relief to these projects.

    However, as per stipulation, for debt to be structured under the 5/25 scheme, banks will have to bring in an additional lender or ensure zero net present value loss. And the performance of projects, even after structuring, will be a monitorable.

    Source : Vanguard

  15. forum rang 10 voda 19 januari 2016 19:17
    29 French firms for energy summit in Abu Dhabi, UAE

    It is reported that a total of 29 French firms will take part in the World Future Energy Summit (WFES) and International Water Summit (IWS) running from January 18 to 21 in Abu Dhabi, UAE.

    Business France, the national agency supporting the international development of the French economy, is once again organizing the French participation in partnership with the French embassy in the UAE, the Club ADEME International and the French Renewable Energy Federation (Syndicat des Energies Renouvelables).

    A statement said that France has the second largest wind power potential in Europe behind the UK.

    It said that it is also Europe's fifth leading country in terms of sunshine, abundant water resources, major forest areas, the world's second largest exclusive economic zone, just behind the US.

    France is Europe's third largest producer of renewable energy. In 2014, France produced 91 TWh of electricity from renewable energy. Revenue from the French renewable energy sector amounts to EUR 11.32 billion ($12.35 billion). France is the leading producer of water treatment equipment and is ranked within the top five global exporters in the air sector.

    Source : TradeArabia News Service
  16. forum rang 10 voda 19 januari 2016 19:23
    No power cut for Mumbai at least for a decade - Report

    Business Standard reported that Mumbaikars will continue to enjoy 24x7, 365 days of uninterrupted power supply for at least a decade despite demand going up with a CAGR of 3-4%. This is due to installation of additional transmission lines by two private power players, Tata Power and Reliance Infrastructure.

    Currently, Mumbaikars consume 3,300 Mw daily of which 2,200 Mw is met by Tata Power and R-Infra jointly while 1,000 Mw is brought from outside the city. The peak demand for Mumbai system was recorded at 3,600 Mw during 2014-15 which was met by power generated by Tata Power and R-Infra and purchases made outside Mumbai.

    Tata power has a consummer base of 600,000 while R-Infra distributes power to 3 million and Brihanmumbai Electric Supply and Transport or BEST supplies to 900,000 consumers in the city. Recent completion of Tata Power's Padghe-Vikhroli transmission line and additional transmission lines between Kalwa and Salsette helped flow of an addditional 500 Mw to the city.

    R-Infra has filed a petition with the Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission (MERC) with a plea to amend its transmission licence with a provision of inter-connection on its existing transmission line between Dahanu and Mumbai. This will pave way for the additional power flow of 1,000 Mw from outside the state into the city. R-Infra expects to complete the proposed work in two years.

    Under existing transmission licence, R-Infra is able to evacuate power from its Dahanu power station in Thane district to the Mumbai city. The amendment to the transmission licence will help R-Infra to bring power from anywhere in the country.

    Consumer representative at MERC Ashok Pends, said that "Amount of power that can be generated in Mumbai is limited due to pollution control norms. Increase in city's demand will have to be met from power from outside the city. What is necessary is increase in transmission capacity mainly by Tata Power and R-Infra."

    Source : Business Standard

  17. forum rang 10 voda 22 januari 2016 20:25
    Tubli plot is allocated for power plant in Bahrain

    A huge plot of land earmarked for investment projects near Tubli was (January 20) urgently given away for a new electricity plant.

    The report said that this followed fears that USD 95 million put aside for the major electricity expansion project from the USD 10 billion Gulf Development Fund may be withdrawn.

    Source : Trade Arabia
  18. forum rang 10 voda 22 januari 2016 20:26
    Drones to monitor in Indian power sector - Report

    Business Standard reported that ground inspections are passé for the Indian power sector which is set to deploy drones to cut costs and improve efficiency. Heralding a technological leap in power transmission, the companies, especially state-owned Power Grid, would now use drones for monitoring project development in critical areas.

    Senior officials in power ministry said that Power Grid got approval from a committee comprising the ministries of defence, home affairs, power and allied departments. While Power Grid confirmed the development, it did not share details.

    Government officials said that among private companies Sterlite Grid has also applied for using drones to monitor its projects. Sterlite is the largest private operator of independent power transmission systems in the country.

    Drones are unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) which can be remotely controlled or can fly autonomously through software-controlled flight plans. While advanced flying robots used in defence can do various things, the drones to be used by power sector would be simpler ones with cameras to capture photos and record videos.

    Power transmission companies, which usually have to build infrastructure in inaccessible areas, have applied for drones to reduce their maintenance cost. Sector experts said that with increasing thrust on delivering transmission projects on time, developers are increasingly deploying aerial technologies.

    The power ministry has initiated an incentive scheme for transmission projects which get commissioned ahead of schedule. The government in July 2015 issued an order that transmission projects won under tariff-based competitive bidding (TBCB) and those awarded to Power Grid for system strengthening would start getting transmission charge from the date of commercial operations, even if it is ahead of the schedule.

    An executive said that Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd (PGCIL) is likely to use drones for its project in difficult terrains.

    Executive said that “The company is likely to experiment drones at two-three sites for now, mostly in hilly areas and in the north-east,” added that drones are cheaper and more efficient than hiring helicopters for aerial monitoring.

    A typical transmission tower is 100 meter-tall above the ground. Sector executives said drones would be used to capture work progress at construction sites and facilitate speedy response during emergency.

    Source : Business Standard
  19. [verwijderd] 22 januari 2016 22:08
    www.belegger.nl/Column/171066/Nadert-...

    Nadert oliesector zijn Kodakmoment?
    Door Robert Schuckink Kool op 22 jan 2016 om 10:00 | Views: 3.155

    Nieuwe belangrijke ontwikkelingen in het bedrijfsleven en veelbelovende technologieën krijgen vaak terecht veel aandacht in de media. Want zeker nieuwe technologieën kunnen soms in rap tempo onze wereld veranderen. Denk maar eens aan de snelle opkomst van de smartphone, die veel teweeg heeft gebracht. Tegelijk werd Nokia, dat de opkomst van de smartphone te laat onderkende, vrijwel van de kaart geveegd.

    Soms gaat de opkomst van een bepaalde technologie zo snel, dat spelers in de markt die die opkomst niet tijdig zien aankomen met de gebakken peren zitten. Daarom denk ik dat je als belegger snelgroeiende trends als robotica, internet of things, online shopping, 3D-printing en duurzame energie op de radar moet hebben. Niet alleen vanwege de vaak forse groeivoorspellingen voor deze trends en ontwikkelingen, want dat kan uiteraard interessant zijn voor beleggers zeker nu de economische groei in veel landen niet hoog is. Maar ook vanwege die andere kant van de medaille: gaan bepaalde ontwikkelingen wellicht ten koste van bepaalde gevestigde bedrijfsmodellen en te logge (beurs)genoteerde bedrijven.

    Kodakmoment voor fossiele energie

    Neem bijvoorbeeld fossiele energie. Het zal geen enkele belegger ontgaan zijn dat de olieprijs fors gedaald is de laatste tijd. De olieaandelen gingen in die daling mee. Er wordt dan veel gesproken over het verhoogde aanbod van olie op de wereldmarkt, de groeivertraging in China, enzovoorts. Iets minder lees je over de toenemende concurrentie van duurzame energie, door een voortdurende daling van de prijs daarvan.

    Recent was de Britse analist Mark Campanale uit de city van Londen in Amsterdam om beleggingsexperts van grote pensioenfondsen en verzekeringsbedrijven bij te praten over beleggen in fossiele energie. Volgens hem – en hij is geen klimaatactivist – is het simpelweg onverstandig om nu nog je geld te investeren in fossiele energie. Hij zei dat de oliesector zijn Kodakmoment nadert. Kodak dacht toen de digitale camera’s opkwamen dat het zo’n vaart niet zou lopen met deze nieuwe technologie... Iedereen weet hoe dit is afgelopen!

    Kansen en bedreigingen

    Ook bij andere trends zie je de kansen en bedreigingen: online shops floreren, terwijl fysieke winkels en ketens die zich onvoldoende weten te onderscheiden ten onder (dreigen te) gaan. Bij prijsvechters in de luchtvaart zie je dat zij, mede door hun efficiënte organisaties, profiteren van de groei van de gehele passagiersluchtvaart, terwijl traditionele luchtvaartmaatschappijen als Air France-KLM het heel moeilijk hebben.

    Ik ben ervan overtuigd dat het in kaart brengen van de gevolgen van snelgroeiende trends voor beleggers niet alleen fascinerend is, maar dat het ook heel verstandig is die trends goed te volgen. Je wil als belegger immers liever geen Kodakmoment in je beleggingsportefeuille.

    - See more at: www.belegger.nl/Column/171066/Nadert-...
  20. forum rang 10 voda 25 januari 2016 21:34
    Iran power sector enough to double GDP

    A report said reported that electricity tariffs in Iran are among the lowest in the world, owing largely to the country’s own internal resources, while current and forthcoming capacity is capable of allowing GDP to double.

    A report said that the current state of Iran’s electricity sector puts the country in the developed-economy basket – installed capacity per capita exceeds that in China and Brazil, and electricity tariffs are among the lowest in the world.

    Notably, this has been achieved largely with the country’s own internal resources, while current and forthcoming capacity is capable of allowing GDP to double under an optimistic scenario, added the latest Utilities Research from Renaissance Capital, a leading investment banking firm.

    Iran’s current installed capacity stands at 73.2 GW, which translates into 0.91 kW per capita. This is far below the 3.25 kW per capita in the US or even the 1.6 kW per capita in Russia.

    However, Iran’s electricity sufficiency exceeds that of China, Brazil, Turkey or South Africa. This has largely been achieved using the resources of the national economy, as the participation of foreign investors in the sector’s development is limited.

    Moreover, the system is relatively young, with the average age of capacity standing at 15 years, and capacity is likely to break through the 100 GW mark in the next five-to-seven years. Overall, taking into account current utilisation rates, we believe the Iranian power sector will not be a bottleneck on potential economic growth (unlike, for instance, in Nigeria) and could cope with as much as a doubling in national GDP.

    Currently, we calculate Iran’s average wholesale electricity tariff at $8/MWh, compared with $75/MWh in Egypt or $17/MWh in Russia. The key reasons for this competitive advantage for the national economy include the energy subsidy system, which is set to be phased out in the next few years; major state (or state-affiliated) ownership of the sector, which significantly caps the economically rational level of required returns on investment; and low domestic prices for gas – the sector’s main fuel source.

    Source : TradeArabia News Service
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