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OIL, the Final Thread(/t?)

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  1. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 13:14

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    Oliemandje OPEC schiet omhoog...

    OPEC-Daily Basket
    The price of the OPEC basket of eleven crudes stood at 52.69 dollars a barrel on Tuesday, compared with 52.07 dollars the previous day, according to OPEC Secretariat calculations.

    In New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) trading on Tuesday, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the American benchmark crude, for September delivery rose to 20 cents to close at 59.20 dollars a barrel.

    Meanwhile in London's International Petroleum Exchange (IPE), the North Sea Brent crude oil settled at 58.03 dollars a barrel, 17 cents higher than previous day.

    www.irna.ir/en/news/view/menu-234/050...
  2. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 13:23

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    quote:

    postzak schreef:

    Oliemandje OPEC schiet omhoog...

    OPEC-Daily Basket
    The price of the OPEC basket of eleven crudes stood at 52.69 dollars a barrel on Tuesday, compared with 52.07 dollars the previous day, according to OPEC Secretariat calculations.

    In New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) trading on Tuesday, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the American benchmark crude, for September delivery rose to 20 cents to close at 59.20 dollars a barrel.

    Meanwhile in London's International Petroleum Exchange (IPE), the North Sea Brent crude oil settled at 58.03 dollars a barrel, 17 cents higher than previous day.

    www.irna.ir/en/news/view/menu-234/050...
    Goed nieuws, postzak.
  3. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 13:38

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    26 Jul 2005 11:19 GMT BP CEO: Thunder Horse Platform 2005 Start "Unlikely"


    Copyright © 2005, Dow Jones Newswires

    LONDON -(Dow Jones)- The startup of oil production at BP PLC's (BP) Thunder Horse offshore platform in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico - affected by Hurricane Dennis - is "unlikely" to occur at the end of 2005, BP Chief Executive John Browne said Tuesday.

    The world's largest semi-submersible platform, Thunder Horse tilted two weeks ago after the hurricane passed through the Gulf of Mexico. The U.K. oil major has since righted the structure.

    The company said it couldn't say at this stage if there is damage to the platform or what caused it to tilt.

    Thunder Horse is expected to be a significant contributor to North American output when it begins producing. The platform originally was supposed to hit first oil in late 2005.

    Thunder Horse is designed to process up to about 250,000 barrels a day of oil and about 200 million cubic feet a day of gas.

    BP is the operator and 75% shareholder of the platform, while Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) owns the remaining 25%.

    Company Web site: www.bp.com

    -By Benoit Faucon, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 207 842 9266; benoit.faucon@dowjones.com

    (END) Dow Jones Newswires

    07-26-05 0719ET

    Copyright (c) 2005 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.


    framehosting.dowjonesnews.com/sample/...
  5. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 14:39

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    Olieprijs daalt voorafgaand aan voorraadrapport VS (1630 uur onze tijd).

    Oil Prices Dip Before Petroleum Report
    Wednesday July 27, 2005 8:03am

    BUDAPEST, Hungary (AP) - Crude futures dipped Wednesday in thin trading ahead of a weekly U.S. petroleum report expected to show an increase in stocks of heating oil and diesel, soothing fears of inadequate supplies.Adding to the sentiment were international oil agency estimates of an expected slowdown in global oil demand growth, with the world's two largest oil consumers — the United States and China — reporting flagging growth.

    Analysts expect prices to keep heading downward in the short term on the back of these estimates.

    "Last week's bearish stock numbers induced a rather massive selloff and I expect some big moves in the market when the new figures are published this afternoon," said Orrin Middleton, energy analyst at Barclays Capital in London.

    Middleton said he expected prices to test recent lows.

    Light sweet crude for September delivery was down 15 cents at $59.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

    Heating oil fell marginally to $1.6032 a gallon while gasoline inched down to $1.6920 a gallon.

    In London, Brent crude for September delivery was also lower, slipping 18 cents to $57.85 a barrel.

    The weekly data from the U.S. was expected to show an increase in distillates and gasoline stocks as refineries recover from recent outages at facilities in the storm-hit Gulf of Mexico and begin to ramp up production ahead of the fourth quarter.

    "There is a lack of bullish news to drive the market," said energy analyst Victor Shum of Texas-based Purvin & Gertz in Singapore. "Many traders are looking forward to the U.S. inventory report for direction."

    Distillates include heating oil, jet fuel and diesel, which become increasingly important during the Northern Hemisphere winter.

    Refinery utilization rates are already consistently above 90 percent in the United States, the U.S. federal Energy Information Administration said.

    Crude stocks, however, were expected to fall due to Hurricane Emily, which caused disruptions to oil production in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico last week when it plowed through the region.

    But Shum said speculation the report would show a drawdown in crude was not worrying traders because stocks in the United States are at five-year highs.

    The Energy Information Administration also said it has revised down U.S. oil demand in May by 1.5 percent from earlier projections to 20.14 million barrels a day, making it the second straight month in which oil use lagged year-earlier levels.

    Soaring prices partly caused the drop in projected oil demand, the agency said, adding, however, that it expects U.S. consumption to strengthen in the second half of 2005 due to a warmer summer that would likely boost demand.

    Oil futures are around 40 percent higher than a year ago.

    ————

    Associated Press Writer Gillian Wong in Singapore contributed to this report.

    www.wjla.com/news/stories/0705/246917...
  8. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 16:32

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    BN 16:30 *DISTILLATE INVENTORIES ROSE 3.14 MLN BARRELS, U.S. EIA SAYS
    BN 16:30 *GASOLINE INVENTORIES FELL 2.13 MLN BARRELS, U.S. EIA SAYS
    BN 16:30 *CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES FELL 2.25 MLN BARRELS, U.S. EIA SAYS

    zou bearish moeten zijn voor Crude, en dus positief voor de markten al geheel....ben benieuwd....
  12. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 16:59

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    Zou dit een stukje van de verklaring zijn?

    India Oil Min:Major Fire Breaks Out At ONGC Oil Platform



    Wednesday July 27, 10:46 AM EDT

    NEW DELHI -(Dow Jones)- An offshore oil platform owned by the Indian state-run oil exploration company Oil & Natural Gas Corp. Ltd. (500312.BY) was destroyed by fire Wednesday evening, said Oil and Petroleum Minister Mani Shankar Aiyar.

    "The platform has been completely destroyed by fire," Aiyar told reporters.

    (MORE TO FOLLOW) Dow Jones Newswires

    07-27-05 1046ET

    money.iwon.com/jsp/nw/nwdt_rt_top.jsp...

    Tweede bron:

    www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/afp_a...
  13. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 17:08

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    API reports climb in crude stocks By Myra P. Saefong
    SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- The American Petroleum Institute said crude inventories for the week ended July 22 rose by 4.4 million barrels. That compares with the Energy Department's 2.3 million-barrel decrease. Motor gasoline inventories fell 3.2 million barrels and distillate stocks were up 2.9 million barrels, the API said. September crude is down 30 cents at $58.90 a barrel in New York

    Schiet mij maar helemaal lek!!
    Mijn schatting van 10 milj. schade door Dennis en Emily is volgens EIA en API dus ingekocht boven op de normale vraag vanuit de VS ???? Is de stijging van de afgelopen weken van de olieprijs hier het gevolg van?? Kan iemand dit verifieren als dat uberhaupt mogelijk is?
  15. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 17:13

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    quote:

    Munte maken schreef:

    Ja en straks is dat in de koest verwerkt en gaan we lakker naar beneden. Ik ga maar eens naar een tubotje short kijken. Wie doet ermee?
    Dit snap ik niet.

    Wat zou de reden zijn om weer down te gaan dan?
    Beleggers weten wat jij ook weet, dus volgens mij gaat jouw logica niet op...
  16. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 17:18

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    Oil prices primed to climb: analysts

    More than just speculation is driving record-high crude; it's old-fashioned supply, demand.
    July 27, 2005: 11:04 AM EDT
    By Grace Wong, CNN/Money staff writer

    NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Is it time to close the book on the speculation theory of crude oil prices?

    As oil settles in near $60 a barrel, some analysts say it's time to dispel the notion that heavy trading is the culprit behind record-high prices. Rather than poised for a spectacular crash, oil could keep climbing, they say.

    Light, sweet crude for September delivery closed Tuesday at $59.20 a barrel, just a few dollars off the record high for a front-month contract of $61.28, set July 6.

    Last September, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said in testimony to the House Budget Committee that speculators taking larger bets on crude oil futures were one possible reason for higher oil prices.

    That triggered fears that prices no longer reflect supply and demand but instead are being propped up by speculative buying. Oil's stunning rally since then, coupled with high volume trading on futures markets, has only fueled those concerns.

    Show me the hot money
    Any investment is at least partly speculative -- you buy a stock because you think its price is going to go up. But speculating on a large scale can disrupt markets as inflows of "hot money" artificially drive up prices.

    "There is new money coming into [oil trading] in the number of open-interest contracts, but this is not necessarily a sign of speculation," said Jan Stuart, an oil analyst at Fimat USA.

    Open interest refers to the number of contracts that are bought and sold each trading session and is used to measure the flow of money into the futures market.

    "It's simply new money, not hot money," Stuart said, adding that some of these investments are there for the long haul.

    But some analysts said there's still a lot of betting going on, and that's throwing prices out of whack against the fundamentals of supply and demand.

    "A significant part of demand right now is based on speculation that something is going to happen in the future or near future to make supplies much more scarce," said Michael Darda, chief economist at MKM Partners.

    That uncertainty is driving institutional players like trading companies that buy for countries, as well as large corporations, to place bets on the future direction of oil in order to manage the risk of a price change -- a practice also known as hedging.

    Southwest Airlines (Research), for example, gained a significant price advantage against its rivals by locking in long-term fuel contracts at less than half of current spot-market prices.

    As these players hedge ahead of the oil curve, they put a lot more pressure on the market and bid up prices, said Charles Gradante, managing principal of Hennessee Group, a hedge fund investing consultancy.

    Demand-driven oil toil
    But unlike profit-seeking speculators who enter and exit the market in seek of a quick return, these large hedgers are mainly businesses that actually take delivery of oil, Gradante said.

    That's important because it points to an intrinsic demand force driving oil.

    Peter Linder, an analyst at energy hedge fund DeltaOne Capital, said speculation about the future plays a role in the volatility of oil prices. But it's market fundamentals -- bottlenecks in refining capacity, increasing demand from China, as well as terror threats -- that are sustaining oil's high price.

    Furthermore, buyers are taking delivery of oil as fast as suppliers produce it. That makes it difficult to make a case for a speculative surge, said Richard Anderson, economist and vice president of the research division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

    While analysts agree that surging demand has changed the dynamics of world oil markets, they're split over how much higher prices can afford to rise.

    MKM's Darda -- who thinks prices are frothy and should be around $40 a barrel instead of around $60 -- said prices are unable to sustain their current high levels.

    Eventually they will reach a point where producers have an incentive to bring more supply online, and that will help prices fall more in line with market fundamentals, he said.

    But Fimat USA's Stuart doesn't see that happening anytime soon.

    "In the short term, there are going to be ups and downs, but over time the drivers of rising demand and tighter supplies are staying in place," he said. "I don't see why the rally should end or price collapse."

    And with most oil companies continuing to post exceptionally strong gains this year, that will be good news for the likes of Exxon Mobil (Research), ChevronTexaco (Research) and ConocoPhilips (Research).

    money.cnn.com/2005/07/27/markets/oil_...
  17. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 17:22

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    Bereiken normaal productieniveau duurt maanden...

    Normal output at oil platform months away: Aiyar

    Reuters
    Posted online: Wednesday, July 27, 2005 at 2024 hours IST

    New Delhi, July 27: The oil platform destroyed by fire in Bombay High offshore field may take several months to resume normal production, but output at other platforms there was normal, Oil Minister Mani Shankar Aiyar said on Wednesday.

    Aiyar said he did not yet know the cause of the fire on the Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd platform, but officials said earlier they believed a rig had collided with it.

    www.expressindia.com/fullstory.php?ne...
  18. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 17:26

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    Twee commentaren van US brokers leiden tot dezelfde conclusie: op het moment is er weinig read through van de API data. Door de productieverstoringen veroorzaakt door orkanen Emily en Dennis van de afgelopen week, is het lastig de waarde van de API data in te schatten.
    Vandaar dat de crude prijs redelijk stabiel blijft liggen.
  19. [verwijderd] 27 juli 2005 17:27

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    quote:

    killer_forehand schreef:

    Twee commentaren van US brokers leiden tot dezelfde conclusie: op het moment is er weinig read through van de API data. Door de productieverstoringen veroorzaakt door orkanen Emily en Dennis van de afgelopen week, is het lastig de waarde van de API data in te schatten.
    Vandaar dat de crude prijs redelijk stabiel blijft liggen.
    Bedankt.
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