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Galapagos januari 2016

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  1. [verwijderd] 4 januari 2016 17:11
    ik heb net een mail naar Elizabeth gestuurd, en haar gevraagd om een paar kinderbadjes gevuld met Jello klaar te zetten tijdens de borrel, zodat sommige deelnemers hun voortleuterende vetes middels een worstelpartijtje kunnen afsluiten.

    Haar eerste reaktie was :OK, maar de dames heren ook moeten wel hun eigen badpakjes meenemen. Wij zorgen desgewenst voor de handdoeken."

    Dat u het even weet.
  2. [verwijderd] 4 januari 2016 17:25
    Wat een vreemd koersverloop vandaag. Tegen de trendt omhoog en dan tegen de trend naar beneden. En dat terwijl we al duidelijk ondergewaardeerd zijn.

    Naja, ik blijf erbij, eind van de maand staan we boven de 60€!

    Het allerbeste voor iedereen en een GALActisch 2016!!
  3. [verwijderd] 4 januari 2016 17:31
    Ik hoop het. Ben overigens bang dat we morgen weer down gaan. De chinese beurshandel is immers een halt toe geroepen. Hopelijk gaan ze morgen dus niet verder down..
  4. forum rang 10 voda 4 januari 2016 17:36
    What goes up, must come down?

    In de eindveiling 13,019 stuks, die de koers 5 cent hoger zette.

    Laatste 55,65 993 17:35:16
    Verschil -1,11 -1,96 %
    Bied 55,61 50 17:35:16
    Laat 55,69 738 17:35:20
    Hoogste 57,68 10:40:28
    Laagste 55,01 09:01:54
    Cum. volume 218.358
    Open 56,13 09:00:01
    Indicatieve opening 55,65
    Vorige handelsdag: slot / dagomzet 56,76 52.771 31-12-2015
    Gemiddelde dagomzet 289.999
  5. forum rang 10 voda 4 januari 2016 17:39
    Geen dag grafiek, het plaatsen van bijlages werkt nog steeds niet op de IEX.
  6. forum rang 4 Sir Piet 4 januari 2016 17:41
    quote:

    aston.martin schreef op 4 januari 2016 16:31:

    Ongelofelijk hoe een paar idioten op Nasdaq de koers laten kelderen! Min 5% met amper 18.000 stuks. Hier doen ze vrolijk mee. Niet te begrijpen.

    Dat heet aandelen losweken. Wel goed voor de omzet en bied kansen voor mensen die nog willen instappen.
  7. egeltjemetstekel 4 januari 2016 17:41
    quote:

    Chicken houdt stand! schreef op 4 januari 2016 17:11:

    ik heb net een mail naar Elizabeth gestuurd, en haar gevraagd om een paar kinderbadjes gevuld met Jello klaar te zetten tijdens de borrel, zodat sommige deelnemers hun voortleuterende vetes middels een worstelpartijtje kunnen afsluiten.

    Haar eerste reaktie was :OK, maar de dames heren ook moeten wel hun eigen badpakjes meenemen. Wij zorgen desgewenst voor de handdoeken."

    Dat u het even weet.
    en ik dacht dat jij niet van de partij zou zijn?
  8. pardon 4 januari 2016 20:08
    AbbVie, a global biopharmaceutical company, today announced that it will advance ABT-494, its internally developed investigational selective JAK1 inhibitor, to Phase 3 studies in rheumatoid arthritis. Following a thorough review of available data, AbbVie will not exercise its right to in-license the Galapagos JAK1 inhibitor, filgotinib.

    "We believe ABT-494 has the potential to become a best-in-class therapy for patients," said Michael Severino, M.D., executive vice president, research and development and chief scientific officer, AbbVie. "In our view, ABT-494 also offers a faster path to Phase 3 development with less uncertainty."

    Per the terms of the agreement with Galapagos, all rights to filgotinib will revert solely to Galapagos.

    My eyes focus not on the verbiage but on the fact that ABT-494 is internally developed at ABBV. The rest of the ABBV commentary means little to me.

    Thus, I think that GILD may have gotten a good deal, as described two weeks ago in:

    GALAPAGOS AND GILEAD ANNOUNCE GLOBAL PARTNERSHIP TO DEVELOP FILGOTINIB FOR THE TREATMENT OF RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS AND OTHER INFLAMMATORY DISEASES

    ...Galapagos will receive an upfront payment of $725 million consisting of a license fee of $300 million and a $425 million equity investment in Galapagos. In addition, Galapagos is eligible for payments of up to $1.35 billion in milestones, with tiered royalties starting at 20% and a profit split in co-promotion territories.

    Phase 2 trial data show that filgotinib has the potential to be an effective and well-tolerated oral therapy for patients with rheumatoid arthritis (DARWIN studies) and Crohn's disease (FITZROY study). The companies will start Phase 3 trials in RA and Crohn's in 2016 pending the successful outcome of discussions with regulatory authorities.

    Now, there is a lot to show to make filgotinib a successful oral entrant in RA. Other effective oral drugs will be (and already are) there first. Galapagos makes some of the case for the drug in a recent presentation regarding the DARWIN Phase 2 studies for this drug in RA. Noting that it's GLPG's corporate propaganda, if you will, the data looks good to me.

    Then there's the Crohn's/IBD data, which was covered not in the presentation but in a press release recently:

    Galapagos NV: Filgotinib meets primary endpoint in phase 2 study in patients with moderate to severe Crohn's disease

    First JAK-inhibitor to show efficacy in Crohn's disease
    48% clinical remission rate, statistically significant versus placebo after 10 weeks induction therapy
    Significant improvements in clinical response and IBDQ quality of life
    Filgotinib safety profile similar to that previously observed
    This also looks promising. The press release ends with management patting itself on the back:

    "Filgotinib is the first JAK inhibitor to show efficacy in Crohn's disease, a disease with still few treatment options today," said Piet Wigerinck, CSO of Galapagos. "These favorable FITZROY study results complement the excellent DARWIN data in rheumatoid arthritis and open up new opportunities in a broader range of inflammatory diseases for filgotinib, our selective JAK-1 inhibitor."

    "We are proud to bring innovative treatments to patients where high unmet medical need exists. We intend to move this drug to Phase 3 as soon as possible," said Onno van de Stolpe, CEO of Galapagos. "Once again, Galapagos has demonstrated that its technology platform has the potential to deliver safe and efficacious drugs which actually can modify the disease for patients. Our pipeline is filling with later stage programs based on the same approach we used to discover and develop filgotinib."

    With GILD taking an equity stake to own 15% of GLPG as part of the deal, management's self-congratulation may have had merit.

    I do not want to discuss the details of the deal, but it fits the GILD mold. GILD has a candidate for IBD, the antibody GS-5745, so filgotinib can help GILD build a franchise. Meanwhile, the trend toward potent oral drugs to treat RA can have a very long period in the sun. The real battle may not be so much between, say, the ABBV oral drug mentioned above and a number of other competitors, but between the orals and the injectables such as ABBV's Humira, Amgen's (NASDAQ:AMGN) Enbrel and the like.

    Let me sum up now and put the above news in a broader context.

    GILD and perceptions of its growth path

    GILD's core chemistry expertise, going back to the company's founding, led it to become the leading antiviral for-profit company. How impressive is it that its discovery of Tamiflu, made two decades ago, is still the only important oral drug to treat influenza?

    However, having taken GILD's market cap up from about $30 B before the foray into hepatitis C treatment to about $150 B today, Wall Street is demanding that either via internal R&D and/or an acquisition strategy, GILD show investors even more. Clearly, the company is evolving its strategy, but at some point, maybe imminently, the growth from its two major franchises will end. The single-digit P/E of GILD's stock provides, in my view, an important margin of safety against downside action, but it also correctly reflects the difficulty that a company doing about $11 B in sales in 2013 has in growing after seeing sales triple in two years.

    I continue to see GILD as attractive, given its various avenues for growth in its existing franchises and its very strong current free cash flow that allows it to take almost all reasonable steps to both grow its shareholder capital return program and provide for prudent growth. Nonetheless, the path forward for the stock is uncertain. I continue to focus on the China opportunity as one that could move GILD's peak EPS notably higher than the Street expects, and look forward to positive news somewhere in the R&D pipeline this year and next. I also do expect the company to pursue a solid deal strategy, and look at the GLPG deal as an example of its good judgment in that sphere.

    Thus, as has been the case for some time, I remain overweighted in GILD's shares with a patient approach.

    Finally, I wish all readers a happy, healthy and prosperous new year. May the Force be with you.

    Additional disclosure: Not investment advice. I am not an investment adviser.

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  9. Anton78 4 januari 2016 20:11
    Omgerekend naar Euro's staat de koers in de US op 56,28 (usd 60,9). Koers is alleen van 60 naar 60,9 gestegen op een volume van niks.

    Maar goed je zou het iets van herstel kunnen noemen. Morgen hopelijk ook bij beursopening hier weer over de 56 eur.
  10. forum rang 10 voda 4 januari 2016 21:05
    quote:

    Chicken denkt diep na schreef op 4 januari 2016 21:02:

    Vreemd, ik krijg steeds minder de drang om om mijn gedachten te delen.
    Tja, dat krijg je na weer zo'n alias verandering! :-)
  11. [verwijderd] 4 januari 2016 21:30
    Laatst vroeg iemand aan mij of ik iemand anders was. Nee, zei ik, maar wie bedoel je? Hij noemde een naam die ik niet kende. Die ben ik niet zei ik. O zei hij. En toen gingen we allebei ergens anders naar toe.
  12. [verwijderd] 4 januari 2016 21:35
    quote:

    Chicken denkt diep na schreef op 4 januari 2016 21:30:

    Laatst vroeg iemand aan mij of ik iemand anders was. Nee, zei ik, maar wie bedoel je? Hij noemde een naam die ik niet kende. Die ben ik niet zei ik. O zei hij. En toen gingen we allebei ergens anders naar toe.
    Volgens mij bent u Kamagurka.
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