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BESI- September 2015 op naar de €20+

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  1. [verwijderd] 4 september 2015 14:37
    The case for the Federal Reserve to raise short-term interest rates this month is strong, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Jeffrey Lacker said Friday morning, though he also said he had not decided whether to support the U.S. central bank's first rate increase in nearly a decade.
    "Earlier this year I said publicly that I thought the case for raising rates was strong, and I still think that's true," Mr. Lacker said in a speech prepared for delivery at a breakfast in Richmond, Va., hosted by the Retail Merchants Association. "But I should emphasize that I will not make a final decision on the question until I have had the benefit of discussions with my colleagues at the upcoming meeting and have reviewed the additional data we will receive between now and then."
    The Fed's last rate increase was in 2006, and officials have said they expect to begin raising the benchmark federal-funds rate, which has been pinned near zero since December 2008, sometime this year. But policy makers appear deeply split on whether to make the first move at their Sept. 16-17 policy meeting.
    Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley last week said raising rates in September had become "less compelling" amid worries about a slowdown in China and volatility in financial markets.
    But Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said market volatility "hasn't so far changed my basic outlook that the U.S. economy is solid and it could support an increase in interest rates."
    Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said a rate increase in September remains a possibility. "I will not, and indeed cannot, tell you what decision the Fed will reach by Sept. 17," Mr. Fischer said last weekend at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City's annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo.
    Mr. Lacker, a skeptic of the Fed's easy-money policies, this year is a voting member of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee. Earlier this year, he voiced support for raising short-term interest rates sooner rather than later.
    But when the Fed kept rates pinned near zero at the June and July policy meetings Mr. Lacker didn't dissent.
    "I've been willing to wait so far this year," he said Friday. "In part, that's because the FOMC conditioned the public not to expect liftoff before June, and deviating from the expectations we've actively fostered should require a significant departure from the economic conditions we anticipated, which hasn't occurred."
    But the Fed has made clear that a rate increase is now possible, he said, and it is now "settled" that the forces holding down growth and inflation earlier this year were transitory.
    Mr. Lacker said the Fed has seen the labor-market improvements it had said it was seeking, and "a significant tightening in labor markets has taken place over the last year and a half."
    Friday's speech was scheduled for delivery 20 minutes before the Labor Department released the U.S. jobs report for August. Mr. Lacker said that "while there is always a chance that this morning's report is unexpectedly weak, it's quite unlikely that a one-month blip would materially alter the labor-market picture or, for that matter, the monetary-policy outlook."
    Mr. Lacker added that while the inflation rate over 12 months remains low, the average annual growth rate of the Commerce Department's personal consumption expenditures price index since January has been 2.2%. "The last half year of data show that inflation already has returned to our 2% objective," he said.
    He took note of the recent turbulence in financial markets. "Developments in China appeared to have heightened uncertainty regarding future economic growth and macroeconomic policy there, which seems to have prompted higher financial market volatility in developed market economies," he said. But he added, "it is worth observing that the direct implications of recent developments for economic fundamentals in the United States appear to be quite limited," and "the Fed has a history of overreacting to financial-market movements that seem unconnected to economic fundamentals."
    Mr. Lacker concluded, "I am not arguing that the economy is perfect, but nor is it on the ropes, requiring zero interest rates to get it back into the ring. It's time to align our monetary policy with the significant progress we have made."
  2. [verwijderd] 4 september 2015 14:46
    quote:

    Havingfun schreef op 4 september 2015 14:42:

    [...]
    Die blonde zeker? Dan heb ik er tenminste een beeld bij. :-))))))
    Ja die blonde idd ;))
  3. [verwijderd] 4 september 2015 14:48
    Om 14.30 uur verscheen het Amerikaanse banenrapport over augustus met een groei van 173.000 banen, waar een groei van 220.000 banen werd verwacht. Het juli-cijfer lag aanvankelijk op 215.000, maar dat werd opwaarts bijgesteld naar een groei met 245.000. De werkloosheid daalde in augustus 5,1%, van 5,3% in juli. Het uurloon steeg op maandbasis met 0,32%, op jaarbasis met 2,2%. Ook het juni-cijfer werd bijgesteld, ook naar 245.000, van 231.000 en ook dat was al een bijstelling van 223.000 banen.
    De Federal Reserve zou de rente niet verhogen in september wanneer de banengroei over augustus onder de 200.000 uitkwam, zo was de visie vooraf van Moody's econoom Mark Zandi. "Als het cijfer onder de 200.000 ligt, dan wordt het heel lastig om dit te doen, zeker in de context van de volatiliteit op de financiele markten", aldus Zandi eerder.
    Zandi verwachtte dat de banengroei ruim onder de 200.000 uitkwam en meer in de buurt van de 160.000-165.000 zou liggen.
    Volgens hem is het augustuscijfer van oudsher in de eerste lezing vaak zwak, om vervolgens in de maanden erna opwaarts te worden bijgesteld.
  4. Guus_Geluk 4 september 2015 16:22
    quote:

    Bannie schreef op 4 september 2015 16:15:

    Nabeurs nog meer onheil.
    Beter alles verkopen om met een gerust geweten het weekend in te gaan.
    Over welke onheil heb je het? WorldQuant is aan het coveren, dat doen grote shortpartijen meestal wanneer ze denken dat de bodem bereikt is.
    Verder ben je de hele week al aan het roeptoeteren dat het slecht gaat maar de koers is inmiddels wel weer 1.5 euro omhoog gegaan.
    Vind je het erg als ik mijn stukken gewoon het weekend mee inneem?
    De rebound is net begonnen. Het coveren van WorldQuant bevestigt dit alleen maar.
  5. [verwijderd] 4 september 2015 16:23
    quote:

    Bannie schreef op 4 september 2015 16:15:

    Nabeurs nog meer onheil.
    Beter alles verkopen om met een gerust geweten het weekend in te gaan.
    Om half zes koop ik nog een plukje, als extra ondersteuning.
  6. [verwijderd] 4 september 2015 16:34
    Groen, Groen, Groen... Ik denk dat er hier 1tje gifgroen aanloopt en niet van blijdschap maar van frustratie ;))
    Ziet er goed uit! half % erbij al op een donkerrode Aex/Amx
  7. [verwijderd] 4 september 2015 16:34
    18,40 sluit = sterke steun voor een jumpstart maandag!

    We zitten in een opgaande trendkanaal in de 5 minuten grafiek.
    In dit tempo zitten we rond 17.30 ergens in de buurt!
  8. [verwijderd] 4 september 2015 16:39
    quote:

    MJansen schreef op 4 september 2015 16:34:

    18,40 sluit = sterke steun voor een jumpstart maandag!

    We zitten in een opgaande trendkanaal in de 5 minuten grafiek.
    In dit tempo zitten we rond 17.30 ergens in de buurt!
    Wordt weer champagne Jansen. :-)
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